A Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Approach with Interval Numbers for Evaluating Project Risk Responses
محل انتشار: ماهنامه بین المللی مهندسی، دوره: 25، شماره: 2
سال انتشار: 1390
نوع سند: مقاله ژورنالی
زبان: انگلیسی
مشاهده: 1,044
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شناسه ملی سند علمی:
JR_IJE-25-2_013
تاریخ نمایه سازی: 17 خرداد 1393
چکیده مقاله:
The aim of appropriate risk management in mega projects is to successfully deliver these projects for the lowest impacts at an acceptable level of risk. There is a need to develop and evaluate a set of risk response actions (RRAs) that reaches the lowest total project impacts under uncertainty while considering technical performance and schedule. Traditional techniques cannot effectively deal with the uncertainties of the risk response development. For this purpose, a new multiple criteria decision-making (MCDM) approach with interval numbers is introduced to evaluate the appropriate RRAs for higher risks of mega projects. Two decision-making techniques, known as decision tree (DT) and TOPSIS are improved versus multiple conflicting criteria by considering interval computations, a new utility function and similarity degree. Then, a real application in oil and gas projects is presented to demonstrate the applicability of the proposed approach under uncertainty, and the main advantages are reported.
کلیدواژه ها:
نویسندگان
s.m mousavi
Young Researches Club, South Tehran Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran
a makui
School of Industrial Engineering, Iran University of Science and Technology, Tehran, Iran
s raissi
School of Industrial Engineering, Islamic Azad University, South Tehran Branch, Tehran, Iran
s.m.h Mojtahedi
School of Industrial Engineering, Islamic Azad University, South Tehran Branch, Tehran, Iran