Investigate the effect of Exchange-rate on International Tourism Market in Iran: Quantile Approach
سال انتشار: 1398
نوع سند: مقاله کنفرانسی
زبان: انگلیسی
مشاهده: 332
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شناسه ملی سند علمی:
MDMCONF03_164
تاریخ نمایه سازی: 28 مهر 1398
چکیده مقاله:
In the economies that are dependent on foreign incomes, the exchange-rate plays a crucial role.Considering the geographical location of Iran, the importance of tourism market in obtaining incomeand creating employment, and the role of the exchange-rate in attracting international tourists, in thepresent study, the effect of positive and negative exchange-rate shocks on international tourism marketof Iran was investigated by using monthly data of official exchange-rate and number of internationalarrival tourist for the period of 2011:04 – 2017:02. The results of Quantile estimation and MCMB-ABootstrap have been shown that the positive and negative exchange-rate shocks have a significanteffect on international arrival tourist to Iran in every decile. Based on these findings, it isrecommended that by adopting appropriate exchange-rate policies and purpose-oriented planning, itwill be possible to increase such foreign income from tourism industry.
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نویسندگان
Mahsa Talebi
M.A. of Tourism Development and Planning, Tourism Management Faculty, Allameh Tabatabayi University
Haniyeh Hemmati Shahgoli
M.A. of Economic, Economics and Management Faculty, University of Tabriz
Nila Zarepour Arizi
M.A. of Economic Development and Planning, Economics and Management Faculty, University of Tabriz