Examining the Emigration of Elites from Iran: A System Dynamics Approach

Nowadays, countries are leading in growth and development, with their managers having a systematic approach and perspective toward external phenomena. In the past, the slow pace of changes and transformations in societies made it easier to analyze current and future conditions. However, in today's world, complex phenomena are non-linear and multidimensional. The issue of migration of skilled and educated human resources from developing countries to developed countries is also considered one of these phenomena, which is influenced by numerous variables and factors that change and evolve over different time periods. The dynamic systems approach is a precise modeling method that allows us to simulate complex and dynamic systems computationally, both qualitatively and quantitatively. By utilizing the obtained results, we can design more effective policies and organizations. In this article, the issue of the migration of elites from Iran to developed countries is examined from a dynamic systems perspective. The problem is modeled and simulated using software "VENSIM". Important variables in elite migration are identified and adjusted. The model's outputs indicate the positive impact of the presence of elites in a country on its level of economic development.

کلیدواژه ها:

Elite migration ، Dynamic systems ، Socio-economic variables ، Computer simulation ، Scenario analysis