Effective Factors on the Growth of Provinces of Iran: A Spatial Panel Approach
سال انتشار: 1397
نوع سند: مقاله ژورنالی
زبان: انگلیسی
مشاهده: 68
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شناسه ملی سند علمی:
JR_IER-22-1_008
تاریخ نمایه سازی: 21 مهر 1402
چکیده مقاله:
I n order to have a successful regional planning policy, one needs to know exactly the effective factors on the growth of the provinces. Thus, determining and evaluating these growth rates are important for urban and regional planners. The main goal of this study is to determine the effective factors on the growth (population growth and per capita income growth) of Iran’s provinces. In this regard, three groups of factors, economic, social and locational, were considered. The population growth and per capita income growth models were considered via spatial panel for the period of ۲۰۰۷-۲۰۱۵. We have also studied the spatial dependence as well as spatial spillovers between the provinces on regional growth. The results show that there have been meaningful growth spillovers between the provinces of Iran. Therefore, any change in one province, besides having its effect on that province also has spillover effects on neighboring provinces. Also the results show that real per capita income, transportation infrastructure, the index of service specialization, the index of production specialization and the index of competitiveness are the most important factors on the growth of the provinces of Iran.
کلیدواژه ها:
Keywords: Population Growth ، Per Capita Income Growth ، Spatial Panel ، Spillover Effects. JEL Classification: C۲۳ ، R۱۱ ، R۲۳
نویسندگان
Sayed Mansoor Khalili Araghi
Faculty of Economics, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Elham Nobahar
Faculty of Economics, University of Tabriz, Tabriz, Iran
Mahboobeh Kabiri Renani
Faculty of Economics, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran
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