Uncertainty Analysis of Groundwater Heads around Underground LPGStorage Caverns by Using Stochastic Simulation Technique

سال انتشار: 1390
نوع سند: مقاله کنفرانسی
زبان: انگلیسی
مشاهده: 1,334

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شناسه ملی سند علمی:

ICUSH01_103

تاریخ نمایه سازی: 30 مرداد 1391

چکیده مقاله:

Finite element methodology combined with stochastic simulation technique is developed toquantify the uncertainty of heads due to the spatial variability of hydraulic conductivity. MonteCarlo technique is applied to obtain an approximate solution to the two-dimensional steady flow ofa stochastically defined non-uniform medium. A nearest-neighbor stochastic process model is usedto generate a spatial correlation between hydraulic conductivity values in the block system.According to this study, the possible range of hydraulic gradient around cavern can be computedby using stochastic simulation rather than single value which is suggested by using deterministicmodeling. The term stochastic safety factor is suggested as an increment of head value at watercurtains, which should be added to make the all the hydraulic gradients surrounding the upperpart of the caverns larger than 1. By using this stochastic safety factor, the shortage of hydraulicgradient can be compensated and the risk of gas leakage due to heterogeneity of hydraulicconductivity can be overcome.

نویسندگان

Moon Chung

Research Fellow, Water Resources Research Div. Korea Institute of ConstructionTechnology

Woncheol Cho

Professor, Department of Civil Engineering, Yonsei University