Evaluating the performance of Forecasting Models for PortfolioAllocation Purposes

سال انتشار: 1394
نوع سند: مقاله کنفرانسی
زبان: انگلیسی
مشاهده: 552

فایل این مقاله در 6 صفحه با فرمت PDF قابل دریافت می باشد

استخراج به نرم افزارهای پژوهشی:

لینک ثابت به این مقاله:

شناسه ملی سند علمی:

MOCONF04_028

تاریخ نمایه سازی: 9 مرداد 1395

چکیده مقاله:

Portfolio theory assumes that investors accept risk. This means that in the equal rate of return on the two assets, the assets are choosen that have a lower risk level. Modern portfolio theory is accepted by investors who believe that they are not cope with the market. So they keep many different types of securities in order to access the optimum efficiency rate that is close to the rate of return on market. One way to control investment risk is establishing the portfolio shares. There are many ways to choose the optimal portfolio shares. Among these methods in this study we use loss functions. For this, we choose all firms from the year 9831 to the end of 9818 that had been a member in the Tehran Stock Exchange. The resualts of this research show that the likelihood function have the best performance in Forecasting the optimal portfolio allocation problem

نویسندگان

Zahra Mohammadipour

Islamic Azad University South Tehran

Mohsen Hamidian

Islamic Azad University South Tehran