Comparison of New Models to Predict Prices and Stock Returns

During the twentieth century, numerous financial professionals introduced various models and analytical frameworks for forecasting share prices and supporting investment decision-making. The central objective of this study is to develop a comprehensive pricing behavior chart and to analyze the effects of inflation on stock market dynamics. Understanding the sensitivities of long-term market behavior and projecting future trends are crucial for identifying investment opportunities and mitigating financial risk. This research focuses on the perspective of technical analysts, or chartists, who emphasize the analysis of price movements through graphical representations and time-series data. These analysts argue that price fluctuations are primarily driven by the forces of supply and demand, which, in turn, are influenced by a complex set of economic and behavioral factors. By examining historical price trends and transaction volumes, they attempt to detect recurring patterns that may signal future price movements. Unlike fundamental analysts, technical analysts believe that long-term price behavior can be better understood through empirical observation of past data rather than through macroeconomic or accounting-based indicators.

کلیدواژه ها:

share price ، Stock Return ، Predict Models ، future prediction