Strategic Stability in a Changing World: Challenges and Strategies

Strategic stability is one of the fundamental issues of the international system in a complex environment, which due to changes in systemic elements has encountered concepts, prerequisites, and different rules. Moreover, these systemic transformations have significantly influenced the strategies adopted by actors to achieve stability. Therefore, changes in systemic elements have affected both causes and effects. Accordingly, the research problem focuses on how environmental shifts impact the theoretical and conceptual foundations of strategic stability, and how these changes influence the strategies of actors in a complex and evolving world. In response to the research problem, this hypothesis is proposed that in a complex and changing world, actors' strategic systems, while focusing on the principle of change, are based on the principles of maintaining stability with low levels of conflict and tension, and to achieve this goal, a full spectrum from peaceful to coercive tools is utilized. The research findings, based on a cascading model using a descriptive-analytical approach and qualitative method, indicate the dynamic nature of stability, the increased likelihood of limited conventional conflicts, the prevalence of proxy wars, the low probability of unconventional conflicts, and the prevention of escalation in tensions under conditions of strategic stability among actors in a complex environment.

کلیدواژه ها:

Strategic ، stability ، complex situation ، conventional conflicts ، unconventional conflicts ، proxy wars