Structural Analysis of the Development Drivers Affecting the Realization of Multi-purpose Management of Summer Rangeland at Mazandaran Province Based on Future Studies Approach

Aims: Preventing rangeland degradation and conserving them is a challenging task that necessitates targeted changes in rangeland policy and management systems. Planning should aim for the optimal utilization of rangelands while meeting the needs of stakeholders. One of the most crucial measures involves adopting a systemic approach to rangeland management, encompassing all resources, livelihood potentials, and income generated from rangelands through multi-purpose use. To effectively manage rangelands, it is crucial to take a comprehensive approach that considers all resources, livelihood opportunities, and income generated from these areas through multi-purpose use. This involves adopting a systemic approach to rangeland management, encompassing the identification and utilization of non-sustainable potentials within the content of multi-purpose exploitation of rangelands. Such an approach can have a significant impact on reducing the livelihood dependence of pastoralists. Since numerous factors influence its successful implementation in rangeland management, particularly in the summer season, this research was conducted to investigate the influential drivers affecting the development of multi-purpose management in the summer rangelands of Mazandaran Province, utilizing a future studies approach. Materials & Methods: This descriptive-applied study employed a survey method. The study population comprised experts, deputy heads of departments, and members specializing in rangeland management. Through purposive judgment sampling, ۵۰ individuals were selected from these populations within the natural resources domain in Sari, Mazandaran Province. Data was collected using a researcher-developed questionnaire, and the Cross-Impact Analysis technique was applied to analyze ۲۱ extracted indices from individual and group interviews. The MicMac software facilitated this analysis. Findings: The study revealed that the primary influential drivers for the advancement of multi-purpose rangeland management included “decentralization and stakeholder participation in the implementation process of multi-purpose plans,” “The results indicated that the indicators “ decentralization and stakeholder participation in the implementation process of multi-purpose plans,” “ generation of new employment prospects and strengthening of rural income potentials,” “ establishment and fortification of rural cooperatives and organizations,” “ governmental support and assistance,” and “ trust-building communication between stakeholders and the government” were the most significant drivers with the highest coefficients of ۶۰۷, ۵۹۶, ۵۸۵, ۵۸۵, and ۵۶۴, respectively. These indicators influenced the multi-purpose utilization of the studied region’s rangelands. Conclusion: Based on the obtained results, the paramount recommendation of this study, employing a forward-thinking approach, is the development of a long-term vision document encompassing economic, socio-cultural, and environmental dimensions. This strategic move is poised to catalyze the transformation of the multi-purpose rangeland management system in Mazandaran Province.

کلیدواژه ها:

Drivers ، Mazandaran ، Multi-purpose Rangeland Management