COVID-۱۹ Control: Can Germany Learn From China?

سال انتشار: 1399
نوع سند: مقاله ژورنالی
زبان: انگلیسی
مشاهده: 57

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شناسه ملی سند علمی:

JR_HPM-9-10_006

تاریخ نمایه سازی: 17 مرداد 1403

چکیده مقاله:

The coronavirus disease ۲۰۱۹ (COVID-۱۹) outbreak started in China in December ۲۰۱۹ and has developed into a pandemic. Using mandatory large-scale public health interventions including a lockdown with locally varying intensity and duration, China has been successful in controlling the epidemic at an early stage. The epicentre of the pandemic has since shifted to Europe and The Americas. In certain cities and regions, health systems became overwhelmed by high numbers of cases and deaths, whereas other regions continue to experience low incidence rates. Still, lockdowns were usually implemented country-wide, albeit with differing intensities between countries. Compared to its neighbours, Germany has managed to keep the epidemic relatively well under control, in spite of a lockdown that was only partial. In analogy to many countries at a similar stage, Germany is now under increasing pressure to further relax lockdown measures to limit economic and psychosocial costs. However, if this is done too rapidly, Germany risks facing tens of thousands more severe cases of COVID-۱۹ and deaths in the coming months. Hence, it could again follow China’s example and relax measures according to local incidence, based on intensive testing.

کلیدواژه ها:

نویسندگان

Olaf Müller

Institute of Global Health, Medical School, Ruprecht-Karls-University, Heidelberg, Germany

Guangyu Lu

Department of Public Health, Medical College, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, China

Albrecht Jahn

Institute of Global Health, Medical School, Ruprecht-Karls-University, Heidelberg, Germany

Oliver Razum

Department of Epidemiology & International Public Health, School of Public Health, Bielefeld University, Bielefeld, Germany

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