A stochastic model for HIV with the use of PrEP

سال انتشار: 1400
نوع سند: مقاله ژورنالی
زبان: انگلیسی
مشاهده: 33

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شناسه ملی سند علمی:

JR_JMMO-9-4_002

تاریخ نمایه سازی: 19 خرداد 1403

چکیده مقاله:

Pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) has become a promising strategy used by uninfected individuals for the HIV prevention. The risk of infection with HIV after exposure to the virus can be understood through a stochastic framework. In this research we present a stochastic model for HIV/AIDS epidemic with the use of prophylaxis and we show that the model with random perturbation has a unique global positive solution. For a special case, we introduce an analogue, {\cal R}_{\sigma}, of the basic reproduction number. This invariant features in a theorem on almost sure exponential stability. Our results show that the disease goes extinct exponentially and almost surely whenever {\cal R}_{\sigma} stays below unity. Simulations serve to illustrate various phenomena.

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نویسندگان

Mozart Umba Nsuami Nsuami

Department of Mathematics and Applied Mathematics, University of the Western Cape, Private Bag X۱۷, Bellville ۷۵۳۵, Republic of South Africa

Peter Witbooi

Department of Mathematics and Applied Mathematics, University of the Western Cape, Private Bag X۱۷, Bellville ۷۵۳۵, Republic of South Africa