Reservoir characterization using ensemble-based assimilation methods
سال انتشار: 1402
نوع سند: مقاله ژورنالی
زبان: انگلیسی
مشاهده: 129
فایل این مقاله در 10 صفحه با فرمت PDF قابل دریافت می باشد
- صدور گواهی نمایه سازی
- من نویسنده این مقاله هستم
استخراج به نرم افزارهای پژوهشی:
شناسه ملی سند علمی:
JR_IJMGE-57-2_005
تاریخ نمایه سازی: 14 مرداد 1402
چکیده مقاله:
Characterization of large reservoir models with a great number of uncertain parameters is frequently carried out by ensemble-based assimilation methods, due to their computational efficiency, ease of implementation, versatility, and non-necessity of adjoint code. In this study, multiple ensemble-based assimilation techniques are utilized to characterize the well-known PUNQ-S۳ model. Accordingly, actual measurements are employed to determine porosity, horizontal and vertical permeabilities, and their associated uncertainties. In consequence, the uncertain parameters of the model will gradually be adapted toward the true values during the assimilation of actual measurements, including bottomhole pressure and production rates of the reservoir. Monotonic reduction of root-mean-squared error and capturing the key points of the maps (such as direction of anisotropy and porosity/permeability contrasts) verify successful estimation of the geostatistical properties of the PUNQ-S۳ model during history matching. At the end of the assimilation process, the RMSE values for Deterministic Ensemble Kalman Filter, Ensemble Kalman Filter, Ensemble Kalman Filter with Bootstrap Regularization, Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter Symmetric Solution, Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter Random Rotation, and Singular Evolutive Interpolated Kalman filter are ۱.۱۲۰, ۱.۱۵۳, ۱.۱۳۲, ۱.۱۳۲, ۱.۱۲۹, and ۱.۱۱۳, respectively. In addition to RMSE, the quality of history match as well as prediction of future performance are looked into in order to assess the performance of the assimilation process. Obviously, the results of the ensemble-based assimilation methods closely match the true results both in the history match section and in the future prediction section. Besides, the uncertainty of future predictions is quantified using multiple history-matched realizations. This is due to the fact that Kalman-based filters use a Bayesian framework in the assimilation step. Accordingly, the updated ensemble members are samples of the posterior distribution through which the uncertainty of future performance is assessed.
کلیدواژه ها:
نویسندگان
Saman Jahanbakhshi
School of Mining Engineering, College of Engineering, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran
مراجع و منابع این مقاله:
لیست زیر مراجع و منابع استفاده شده در این مقاله را نمایش می دهد. این مراجع به صورت کاملا ماشینی و بر اساس هوش مصنوعی استخراج شده اند و لذا ممکن است دارای اشکالاتی باشند که به مرور زمان دقت استخراج این محتوا افزایش می یابد. مراجعی که مقالات مربوط به آنها در سیویلیکا نمایه شده و پیدا شده اند، به خود مقاله لینک شده اند :