Effect of Foreign Direct Investment on Non-Oil Export in Iran

سال انتشار: 1388
نوع سند: مقاله ژورنالی
زبان: فارسی
مشاهده: 137

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شناسه ملی سند علمی:

JR_DANESH-16-27_008

تاریخ نمایه سازی: 26 آذر 1400

چکیده مقاله:

In this research, we investigate the effects of foreign direct investment on non-oily exports in Iran. For this purpose, by using data for the period ۱۹۶۳ to ۲۰۰۵, an Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model has been estimated. Findings show that the inflow of FDI has a significant and positive effect on non-oil exports in long run and short run of Iran. Moreover, increasing in real exchange rate and decreasing domestic demand, cause growing in non-oily export. The result of dynamic model confirms the long run relationship between explanatory variables and non-oil exports. The ECM model also implies that any shocks imposed to each of independent variables of the model may continue to ۲.۵- ۳ years are need for FDI to return to its long -term trend.