Energy Transition Modelling in Iran: An Evidence from the ARDL Bound Testing Method
محل انتشار: فصلنامه بررسی تجارت نفت، دوره: 4، شماره: 2
سال انتشار: 1399
نوع سند: مقاله ژورنالی
زبان: انگلیسی
مشاهده: 249
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شناسه ملی سند علمی:
JR_PBR-4-2_003
تاریخ نمایه سازی: 22 آذر 1399
چکیده مقاله:
The challenge of environmental pollution and climate change have made countries to develop energy transition progress to move from non-renewable energy sources towards renewable ones. This paper seeks to consider energy transformation process and analyze its pattern in Iran by modeling through the ARDL bounding testing method over the period of ۱۹۹۳-۲۰۱۸. The empirical estimations depicted that in the long-run economic growth and inflation rate negatively impact on energy transformation of Iran, while increase in carbon dioxide emissions and appreciation of Iran’s national currency accelerate the energy transition process in Iran. Regarding the short-run relationship, the major results represented an evidence of positive impact of exchange rate on Iran’s energy transition process, while the other variables have negative coefficient. As a major concluding remark, for the case of Iran, the findings prove that the influential impacts of explanatory variables on energy transformation are stronger in long-run rather than in short-run. Therefore, the presence of efficient long-run energy planning is recommended.
کلیدواژه ها:
نویسندگان
Mohamad Nasr Esfahani
Instructor, Economics and Islamic Banking, Faculty of Economics, Kharazmi University, Tehran, Iran
Ehsan Rasoulinezhad
Assistant Professor, Department of Russian Studies, Faculty of World Studies, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran