Climate change impacts on vegetation and agricultural drought in the basin of Panjshir River in Afghanistan

  • سال انتشار: 1399
  • محل انتشار: فصلنامه پژوهشهای تغییرات آب و هوایی، دوره: 1، شماره: 4
  • کد COI اختصاصی: JR_CCR-1-4_007
  • زبان مقاله: فارسی
  • تعداد مشاهده: 518
دانلود فایل این مقاله

نویسندگان

Iman Rousta

Department of Geography, Yazd University, Iran

Mohammad-arif Saberi

Department of Geography, Yazd University, Iran

Sayed Abd-raouf Mahmood

Department of Geography, Yazd University, Iran

Mohammad Mansour Moghaddam

Department of Geography, Yazd University, Iran

Haraldur Olafsson

Institute for Atmospheric Sciences-Weather and Climate, and Department of Physics, University of Iceland and Icelandic Meteorological Office (IMO), Bustadavegur ۷, IS-۱۰۸, , Iceland

Jaromir Krzyszczak

Institute of Agrophysics, Polish Academy of Sciences, Doświadczalna ۴, ۲۰-۲۹۰ Lublin, Poland

Piotr Baranowski

Institute of Agrophysics, Polish Academy of Sciences, Doświadczalna ۴, ۲۰-۲۹۰ Lublin, Poland

چکیده

The agricultural drought, severely affecting human life, occurs unpredictably at different times with different intensities. The conventional methods for assessing drought often relay on indices obtained using meteorological data, but due to the low spatial coverage, incompleteness and inaccuracy of these data, meteorological indices cannot be considered as a comprehensive method. Therefore, it is suggested that remote sensing constitute more versatile approach, as it allows to assess the drought using the adequate spatial and temporal coverage for the study area. In the study, performed for the Panjshir river basin in Afghanistan, the 2010-2019 period is used to evaluate vegetation rate using NDVI data from MODIS. To calculate agricultural drought indices (DSI, VCI and TCI), May and June were selected, as the peak vegetation time occurs for these months. On the base of the remote sensing indicators it was shown that during the study period the drought conditions were normal in the region, except for 2011, 2017, and 2018, which were the driest years, and for 2019, which was the wettest year. Agricultural drought indices were compared to SPI index calculated using winter and spring precipitation data recorded at the meteorological stations. It was observed that the remote sensing indices showed the highest correlation with data from Kabul meteorological station, which is located at the same altitude and climate as the dense vegetation zone. Furthermore, the comparison showed that the ground precipitation data is characterized by higher amplitudes than the remote sensing data. From the above it steams that the vegetation in the Panjshir basin is influenced by both seasonal rainfall and rivers that continuously flood the area.

کلیدواژه ها

Panjshir basin, Agricultural drought, MODIS, SPI, TCI

اطلاعات بیشتر در مورد COI

COI مخفف عبارت CIVILICA Object Identifier به معنی شناسه سیویلیکا برای اسناد است. COI کدی است که مطابق محل انتشار، به مقالات کنفرانسها و ژورنالهای داخل کشور به هنگام نمایه سازی بر روی پایگاه استنادی سیویلیکا اختصاص می یابد.

کد COI به مفهوم کد ملی اسناد نمایه شده در سیویلیکا است و کدی یکتا و ثابت است و به همین دلیل همواره قابلیت استناد و پیگیری دارد.