Future-Oriented Policy Making in Oil Exploration and Extraction Using a System Dynamics Approach

  • سال انتشار: 1403
  • محل انتشار: مجله تفکر سیستمی در عمل، دوره: 3، شماره: 3
  • کد COI اختصاصی: JR_JSTINP-3-3_003
  • زبان مقاله: انگلیسی
  • تعداد مشاهده: 225
دانلود فایل این مقاله

نویسندگان

Farzad Amiri

Department of Industrial Engineering, Faculty of Engineering Management, Kermanshah University of Technology, Kermanshah, Iran.

چکیده

Over the years, the process of studying, exploring, and extracting oil has undergone numerous transformations. On the one hand, the limitations arising from the depletion of oil reserves and the increasing global demand for this valuable commodity, and on the other hand, the growing dependence of industries on fossil fuels, lack of integration in optimal consumption patterns, labor strikes in the oil sector, wars, and political unrest, and instability in the oil market have led major oil-producing countries to implement a wide range of policies to achieve optimal conditions for oil exploration, extraction, and consumption. Moreover, global concerns about the depletion of strategic oil reserves and worries about achieving sustainable and lasting security in the supply of this product make it imperative to seriously address policy-making in the field of exploration and supply. This paper attempts to study the past and present trends of oil exploration and extraction, examine the main and root causes influencing this process through a system dynamics model, and conduct a content analysis on the best policy-making approach for oil exploration and extraction. The Vensim PLE ۷.۳.۵ software was used to analyze the model components.

کلیدواژه ها

System dynamics, Non-renewable resource Management, Oil exploration and extraction, Future-oriented policy making, Causal Loop Diagram

اطلاعات بیشتر در مورد COI

COI مخفف عبارت CIVILICA Object Identifier به معنی شناسه سیویلیکا برای اسناد است. COI کدی است که مطابق محل انتشار، به مقالات کنفرانسها و ژورنالهای داخل کشور به هنگام نمایه سازی بر روی پایگاه استنادی سیویلیکا اختصاص می یابد.

کد COI به مفهوم کد ملی اسناد نمایه شده در سیویلیکا است و کدی یکتا و ثابت است و به همین دلیل همواره قابلیت استناد و پیگیری دارد.