How can co-evolutionary processes contribute to foresight in a sectoral systems of innovation Towards a new foresightframework in sectors

سال انتشار: 1396
محل انتشار: هفتمین کنفرانس بین المللی مدیریت فناوری و چهاردهمین کنفرانس بین المللی آسیالیکس
کد COI اختصاصی: IRAMOT10_016
زبان مقاله: انگلیسی
تعداد مشاهده: 378

نویسندگان

Futures Studies Research Institute, Amirkabir University of Technology, Tehran, Iran

Technology Foresight Group, Department of Management, Science and Technology, Amirkabir University of technology,Tehran, Iran

چکیده

Along with the rise of foresight methods, foresight frameworks for practical proposes, based on back-up theories inmanagement, science, technology and innovation studies have become a common approach to practicing it indifferent environments. This article investigates how sectoral systems of innovation and foresight are related andspecifically how sectoral system of innovation can contribute to building a foresight framework in sectoral level. wehave reviewed e theoretical foundation of foresight and innovation system approach and then it is described howSector dynamics and co-evolution between technological base, firms, demand and institutions in a sector, movesectoral system toward the change and transformation and provide a base for reflecting alternative futures.As contribution, this paper proposes a three stage foresight process referred to as sectoral innovation foresightframework. In this approach sectoral uncertainties are identified based on co-evolutionary patterns. Such patternsand uncertainties provide a ground to develop multiple alternative futures in the system. This foresight frameworkhelps stakeholders to achieve sectoral vision. Finally, the proper foresight methods and techniques is proposed foreach stage.

کلیدواژه ها

Sectoral System of Innovation; Sectoral Innovation Foresight(SIF); foresight; co-evolution; foresight framework

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