Financial Sensitivity Assessment On Different Approaches Toward LNG Transportation Means

سال انتشار: 1391
محل انتشار: نهمین همایش بین المللی مهندسی سواحل، بنادر و سازه های دریایی
کد COI اختصاصی: ICOPMAS09_007
زبان مقاله: انگلیسی
تعداد مشاهده: 1087

نویسندگان

Ph.D student on Mechanic Eng. , K.N.T university

M.Sc. on Marin Structure Engineer , Hormozgan University

Assist.Prof. in Offshore Eng. , head of martime transportation and technology Dept. Transportation research Institute, IRAN

Cyrus Ershadi

Assit.Prof.on Civil .Eng , Hormozgan University

چکیده

LNG chain value consists of gas exploration, gas liquefaction, transportation, Re-gasification and finally gas distribution to the end user network. Transportation part of this chainnormally consists of 25 to 30% of the total vale and is the most lucrative part of it. As proved Iranian gas reserves is about 29 trillions cubic meter and nearly half of it is South PARS gasfield shared between Iran and Qatar ,there is an increasing concern on entering into gas export market in near future. This enthusiasm enquires a thorough financial study on economical feasibility study on this industry. In this study by emphasizing on key parameters of LNG shipping industry like, technical vessel specification distance between exporting and importing terminals, cost ofLNG carriers , boil of ratio of vessels, oil and gas future price prediction vessels heeling portions and most importantly the difference between vessel purchase and hiring daily rate ofvessels. We are to model this industry economically and by doing an economical sensitivity analysis on the model some economical indexes are extracted which are of most benefit for countries decision makers.Two scenarios of purchasing and renting vessel have been investigated and it is shown thanin different financial condition and oil and gas market there are at least minimum internal rateof return of 4 to 18% and at last these finding have been demonstrated in a 3D diagram showing net in come oil price (as an important parameters) and rent daily rate of vessels to show the profitability of this industry to the reader

کلیدواژه ها

Economical Sensitivity Analysis, shipping coast, LNG carriers, financial feasibility

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