CIVILICA We Respect the Science
(ناشر تخصصی کنفرانسهای کشور / شماره مجوز انتشارات از وزارت فرهنگ و ارشاد اسلامی: ۸۹۷۱)

Modeling of Solar Radiation Potential in Iran Using Artificial Neural Networks

عنوان مقاله: Modeling of Solar Radiation Potential in Iran Using Artificial Neural Networks
شناسه ملی مقاله: JR_JASTMO-17-7_005
منتشر شده در در سال 1394
مشخصات نویسندگان مقاله:

Sh. Gorjian - Department of Biosystems Engineering, Faculty of Agriculture, Tarbiat Modares University (T.M.U.), Tehran, Iran. P.O. Box ۱۴۱۱۵-۱۱۱.
B. Ghobadian - Department of Biosystems Engineering, Faculty of Agriculture, Tarbiat Modares University (T.M.U.), Tehran, Iran. P.O. Box ۱۴۱۱۵-۱۱۱.
T. Tavakkoli Hashjin - Department of Biosystems Engineering, Faculty of Agriculture, Tarbiat Modares University (T.M.U.), Tehran, Iran. P.O. Box ۱۴۱۱۵-۱۱۱.

خلاصه مقاله:
Solar radiation data play an important role in solar energy relevant researches. These data are not available for some locations due to the absence of the meteorological stations. Therefore, solar radiation data have to be predicted by using solar radiation estimation models. This study presents an integrated Artificial Neural Network (ANN) approach for estimating solar radiation potential over Iran based on geographical and meteorological data. For this aim, the measured data of ۳۱ stations spread over Iran were used to train Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) neural networks with different input variables, and solar radiation was the output. The accuracy of the models was evaluated using the statistical indicators of Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and Correlation Coefficient (R); hence, the best model in each category was identified. The Stepwise Multi NonLinear Regression (MNLR) method was used to determine the most suitable input variables. The results obtained from the ANN models were compared with the measured data. The MAPE and RMSE were found to be ۲.۹۸% and ۰.۰۲۲۴, respectively. The obtained R value was about ۹۹.۸۵% for the testing data set. The results testify to the generalization capability of the ANN model and its excellent ability to predict solar radiation in Iran.

کلمات کلیدی:
ANN, Meteorological data, Multi non-linear regression, Solar radiation

صفحه اختصاصی مقاله و دریافت فایل کامل: https://civilica.com/doc/1826508/