Another Evidence of an Increasing Trend in the Incidence of Breast Cancer in Developing Countries Over the Recent Years

  • سال انتشار: 1400
  • محل انتشار: مجله سرطان خاورمیانه، دوره: 12، شماره: 4
  • کد COI اختصاصی: JR_MISJ-12-4_007
  • زبان مقاله: انگلیسی
  • تعداد مشاهده: 75
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نویسندگان

Razieh Zahedi

Research Center for Non-communicable Diseases, Jahrom University of Medical Sciences, Jahrom, Iran

Hossein Molavi Vardanjani

Health Policy Research Center, Institute of Health, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran

Mohammad Reza Baneshi

Modeling in Health Research Center, Institute for Futures Studies in Health, Kerman University of Medical Sciences, Kerman, Iran

Ali Akbar Haghdoost

Modeling in Health Research Center, Institute for Futures Studies in Health, Kerman University of Medical Sciences, Kerman, Iran

Reza Malekpour Afshar

Pathology and Stem Cell Research Center, Kerman University of Medical Sciences, Kerman, Iran

Farzaneh Zolala

Social Determinants of Health Research Center, Institute for Futures Studies in Health, Kerman University of Medical Sciences, Kerman, Iran

چکیده

Background: We examined and estimated the trend of breast cancer incidence in Kerman, the largest province in Iran. Method: Having compiling the data of new cases from three sources (cancer registry, pathology, radiotherapy) in this longitudinal study, the number of untouched cases was estimated using log-linear model. We estimated the annual age-standardized rate (ASR) per ۱۰۰,۰۰۰ women in ۲۰۰۱-۲۰۱۵. We utilized joint point regression method to estimate the trend of breast cancer incidence during the examined years. Results: The ASR of breast cancer increased from ۲۵ in ۲۰۰۱-۲۰۰۵ to ۳۷ in ۲۰۱۱- ۲۰۱۵, showing that the annual average percentage increased by ۵.۹% (۹۵% Confidence Interval: ۳.۵, ۸.۴, p < ۰.۰۰۱). Moreover, during this period, the completeness of the cancer registry increased from ۱۶% in the first five years to ۷۰% in the last five years. Conclusion: Our findings revealed that the coverage of the cancer registry increased significantly. It seems that part of the increasing trend of the reported cancer incidence was attributed to the enhancement of the cancer registry scheme, but our findings suggested that the real incidence of breast cancer had a growing trend.

کلیدواژه ها

Breast neoplasms, Cancer registry, Incidence, Iran

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