The Level of Population Carrying Capacity, Natural Resources and Pollution: A Case of Iran

  • سال انتشار: 1402
  • محل انتشار: Iranian Economic Review Journal، دوره: 27، شماره: 1
  • کد COI اختصاصی: JR_IER-27-1_004
  • زبان مقاله: انگلیسی
  • تعداد مشاهده: 187
دانلود فایل این مقاله

نویسندگان

Ali Ostadzad

Department of Economics, University of Larestan, Fars, Iran.

Sakine Owjimehr

Department of Economics, Shiraz University, Shiraz, Iran.

چکیده

A country’s population carrying capacity is the maximum population a country can tolerate depending on its resources and environmental conditions. An awareness of a country’s population carrying capacity can be of great help to development planners. Despite the importance of this variable, few studies have attempted to estimate it, particularly at the country level on which no study was found to have focused. The present study aimed to calculate the population carrying capacity of Iran using the expanded logistic equation, the generalized extractable energy resources equation, and the Extraction-environmental Kuznets curve (XEKC). The population growth rate of Iran, as a country with abundant primary energy and natural resources, has always been positive and its population now stands at about ۸۳ million. The simultaneous estimation of parameters from three equations using multi-objective optimization showed that Iran’s population carrying capacity was about ۹۵ million. It is important to note that this estimate of the population carrying capacity was based on Iran’s current economic growth. This means that with the growth and expansion of the economy, the population carrying capacity of Iran can be estimated higher. Also, the EKC was established with ۹۹.۵% confidence for the Iranian economy, and the value of the per capita income at the turning point of the inverted U-shaped curve was ۰.۴۳۵ billion Rials. Meanwhile, the amount of GDP per capita for the Iranian economy was ۰.۱۵۷ billion Rials at the time of this study, showing Iranian economy was on the upward sloping portion of the curve.

کلیدواژه ها

Carrying Capacity, Energy resources, Kuznets Curve, Multi-objective optimization, Simultaneous Equation Estimation

اطلاعات بیشتر در مورد COI

COI مخفف عبارت CIVILICA Object Identifier به معنی شناسه سیویلیکا برای اسناد است. COI کدی است که مطابق محل انتشار، به مقالات کنفرانسها و ژورنالهای داخل کشور به هنگام نمایه سازی بر روی پایگاه استنادی سیویلیکا اختصاص می یابد.

کد COI به مفهوم کد ملی اسناد نمایه شده در سیویلیکا است و کدی یکتا و ثابت است و به همین دلیل همواره قابلیت استناد و پیگیری دارد.