The Impact of Natural Disasters on Income Inequality in Indonesia

Introduction: The purpose of this study is to investigate the relationship between natural disasters and income inequality in Indonesia, a developing country with a high risk of natural hazards and high population densities in disaster-prone regions.Methods: This paper used cross-province panel data during the period between ۲۰۱۰ and ۲۰۱۶. Natural disasters data were obtained from Indonesia National Agency for Disaster Management (BNPB), while Gini index data as an indicator of income inequality were obtained from Indonesia Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS). To estimate the impact of natural disasters on income inequality, this paper used a fixed effect regression model.Results: It was found that the lagged variable of natural disasters positively affected the Gini index. The coefficient of this variable was ۰.۰۰۹۳ at a significance level of ۵%. It indicated that natural disasters worsen income inequality. This study also showed that natural disasters that negatively affected the Gini index were hydrological disasters in year t (between  -۰.۰۱۷۹ and -۰.۰۱۹۹ at a significance level of ۰.۱%).  Meanwhile, meteorological disasters tended to increase income inequality in the subsequent years. The coefficients were ۰.۰۲۸۲ and ۰.۰۱۸۷, and were statistically significant at least ۵%. In addition, meteorological disasters consistently affected income distribution in all Western Indonesia (Sumatra, Java, and Bali) and other islands. The coefficients were ۰.۰۲۰۵ and ۰.۰۵۱۰ at a significance level of ۵% indicating that meteorological disasters tended to increase inequality in income distribution.But these climatological disasters had a negative impact on income distribution in other islands in years t and t-۱ (-۰.۰۱۹۲ and -۰.۰۶۸۰ at the significance level of ۱% and ۵%, respectively). Conclusion: The findings of this study imply that designing policies to deal with inequality at the regional level should also concern the different influences of various natural disasters on income inequality.

کلیدواژه ها:

Natural Disasters ، Income Inequality ، Gini Index ، Cross-Province ، Indonesia